Analyst: XRP Still Wouldn’t Hit $10,000 Even If All Traders Do This
2025/12/16 13:06The crypto market has never been short on bold predictions. During every major rally, extreme price targets resurface, fueled by optimism and viral narratives. Among the most persistent is the belief that XRP could reach five-figure valuations if global capital fully rotated into the asset. The theory sounds compelling, but the numbers tell a very different story.
That disconnect between narrative and mathematics is what prompted analyst Levi Rietveld to revisit the claim. His analysis strips away hype and focuses instead on verifiable data, global wealth estimates, and XRP’s immutable supply mechanics.
Global Wealth Sets a Hard Ceiling
Any serious valuation discussion must begin with the size of global capital. According to consolidated estimates from international financial institutions, total global wealth—including equities, bonds, cash, commodities, and real estate—ranges between $900 trillion and just over $1 quadrillion. This figure represents the upper boundary of all investable value worldwide.
If everyone in the world sold all of their assets and bought $XRP $XRP still wouldn't be $10,000 per coin..
Yikes 🤣
— Levi | Crypto Crusaders (@LeviRietveld) December 15, 2025
Even under the impossible assumption that every dollar of that wealth could be liquidated and redirected into XRP, the resulting price outcome remains constrained. XRP’s maximum supply is fixed at 100 billion tokens.
When total global wealth is divided by that supply, the theoretical valuation barely approaches the $10,000 mark—and only under conditions that cannot exist in real markets.
Supply Structure and Circulating Reality
Market prices are influenced not just by total supply, but by circulating supply. Currently, roughly 55 billion XRP are in circulation. While this reduces the denominator in valuation models, it does not resolve the core issue.
Global wealth cannot be fully mobilized into a single asset without collapsing other markets, triggering liquidity crises, and violating regulatory frameworks across jurisdictions.
In practice, only a fraction of global capital is ever investable at one time. Large asset classes such as real estate and sovereign debt are illiquid and cannot be instantaneously converted into digital assets at scale.
Liquidity, Not Belief, Drives Price
Price discovery depends on liquidity depth, order book capacity, and counterparties willing to transact at higher levels. As capital inflows grow, slippage increases, spreads widen, and marginal buyers diminish. These market mechanics impose natural limits long before theoretical capitalization targets are reached.
XRP’s role as a bridge asset further reinforces this limitation. Its value proposition centers on transaction efficiency and liquidity velocity, not extreme scarcity. Assets designed for utility do not require astronomical unit prices to function at a global scale.
Separating Long-Term Growth From Fantasy
Rietveld’s conclusion does not dismiss XRP’s long-term potential. Adoption growth, institutional usage, and regulatory clarity can still drive substantial appreciation. However, those drivers operate within mathematical and economic boundaries that cannot be ignored.
Understanding those boundaries is essential for credible analysis. Informed conviction strengthens markets; unchecked exaggeration weakens them. Even in the most extreme hypothetical, XRP reaching $10,000 per coin remains mathematically implausible.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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