🔹 News
① The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September has risen to 62.3%, with hawkish expectations continuing to suppress risk assets.
② The Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net outflow of about $236 million in a single day, with BlackRock IBIT leading the decline at $201 million. Institutional funds have taken profits in stages.
③ Geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran have escalated, causing risk-aversion sentiment to disrupt the market.
④ The CLARITY Act is expected to be voted on around September 15, coinciding closely with the FOMC rate meeting, as the policy window approaches.
⑤ The Fear and Greed Index is at 71, still in the greed zone.
🔹 Market Overview
BTC is around $77,400 (+0.4%)｜ETH is around $2,385 (-1.0%)｜SOL is around $99.5 (-0.5%)
The total market capitalization is around $2.71 trillion, with 24-hour trading volume about $74.7 billion. Overall, prices are fluctuating at high levels with a weak bias; major coins are moving in tandem with Bitcoin, while altcoins are diverging.
📊 Intraday Reference (technical analysis only, not investment advice)
BTC
Resistance: 77,800-78,500｜Strong resistance: 80,000
Support: 76,500-77,000｜Strong support: 75,000
👉 77,000 is the short-term pivot; if a pullback stabilizes above support, observe for bulls. If the rebound stalls near 78,000, consider short positions with strict stop-loss.
ETH
Resistance: 2,420-2,475
Support: 2,345-2,300｜Strong support: 2,240
👉 Moves in tandem with BTC; daily chart retraces from highs. If 2,345 holds, anticipate a rebound; a break below 2,300 signals weakness.
SOL
Resistance: 102-105
Support: 97-98｜Strong support: 94
👉 Volatility is high, halve positions; follow overall market trend and do not hold if support breaks.
