Bitget App
Trade smarter
Buy cryptoMarketsTradeFuturesStocksEarnInstitutionAI & More
Data Brief – HSBC lowers the average gold price forecast for 2026 to $4,490 per ounce

Data Brief – HSBC lowers the average gold price forecast for 2026 to $4,490 per ounce

路透社路透社2026/10/01 14:46
Show original

Latest updates on HSBC and Bank of America

- HSBC on Thursday lowered its gold price forecasts (link), citing expectations of further U.S. interest rate hikes and rising oil prices, which may put short-term pressure on gold prices. However, the bank expects long-term support to remain unchanged.

The bank now expects an average gold price of $4,490 per ounce in 2026, down from its previous forecast of $4,560. In addition, the bank cut its 2027 forecast from $4,925 to $4,825.

However, the bank anticipates several long-term positive factors to re-emerge, including widening fiscal deficits, persistently high government debt levels, and broader economic policy uncertainty. These factors are expected to rekindle investor demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.

Meanwhile, Bank of America expects gold prices to fall to $3,750 per ounce in the fourth quarter, as the recent surge in oil prices, stubbornly high inflation, and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance bring short-term headwinds to the precious metals market.

On Thursday, spot gold XAU= rose 0.2%, trading near $4,163 per ounce.GOL/


Below is the latest list of analysts' gold price forecasts (unit: USD/ounce):

Broker/Institution

Annual Price Forecast

Target Price

Forecast Date


2026



HSBC

$4,490

--

October 1, 2026

Bank of America

$4,389

Expected fourth quarter price to drop to $3,750/ounce

October 1, 2026

JPMorgan

$4,545

Expected average gold price of $4,300/ounce in Q3 2026, $4,500/ounce in Q4

July 2, 2026

Goldman Sachs

-

Will reach $4,900 by December 2026

June 18, 2026

ANZ*

$5,600

Postponed target price of $6,000/ounce to mid-2027 from early 2027

May 15, 2026

Macquarie Group

$4,323

Expected average gold price of $4,590 in Q1, $4,300 in Q2

February 5, 2026

Wells Fargo Investment Institute


Expected price to reach $6,100–$6,300 by end of 2026

February 4, 2026

UBS

-

Raised target prices for March, June, and September 2026

to $6,200

January 29, 2026

Deutsche Bank

$5,500

$6,000 for 2026

January 26, 2026

Société Générale

-

$6,000 by end of 2026

January 26, 2026

Morgan Stanley

$4,600

Bullish target of $5,700 in H2 2026

January 23, 2026

Citi Research

$5,000

Raised 0–3 month target price to $5,000

January 13, 2026

HSBC

$4,587

$4,450 by end of 2026

January 8, 2026

ANZ

$4,445

$4,400 before year-end, $4,600 before June 2026

October 16, 2025

Standard Chartered

$4,488

-

October 13, 2025

Commerzbank

$4,900

Reach $4,800 by mid-2026

January 13, 2026

*Year-end forecast


(For the convenience of non-native English speakers, Reuters has automated its report translations into several other languages. As automated translation may be inaccurate or lack required context, Reuters does not guarantee the accuracy of translated text and provides it solely for reader convenience. Reuters assumes no liability for any damage or loss arising from the use of the automated translation feature.)

0
0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

Understand the market, then trade.
Bitget offers one-stop trading for cryptocurrencies, stocks, and gold.
Trade now!

You may also like

BUZZ - Delta Air Lines shares fall after lowering full-year profit guidance

October 9 - Delta Air Lines (DAL.N) shares fell nearly 5% in pre-market trading to $78.12. Due to a surge in jet fuel prices, Delta Air Lines (DAL) on Friday lowered its full-year adjusted profit forecast. The U.S. airline now expects adjusted earnings per share in 2026 to be between $5.10 and $5.60, down from the previous guidance of $6.5 to $7.5 per share. The current midpoint of $5.35 per share is lower than analysts’ expectations of $5.46 per share. DAL expects its annual fuel costs to rise by about $6.0 billion, compared to an earlier projection of a $4.0 billion increase. Analysts tracking DAL have given it an average “Buy” rating, according to data compiled by LSEG. So far this year, Delta Air Lines stock has risen 18.4%, the highest increase among major U.S. competitors. (For the convenience of non-English speakers, Reuters automatically translates its reports into several other languages. Since automated translations may contain errors or lack the necessary context, Reuters does not guarantee the accuracy of automated translation texts, which are provided solely for readers’ convenience. Reuters assumes no responsibility for any damage or loss resulting from the use of automated translation services.)

路透社•2026/10/09 10:46

BUZZ-TD Cowen lowers its target price for UnitedHealth Group ahead of third-quarter earnings release

On October 9, TD Cowen lowered its price target for UnitedHealth Group (UNH.N) from $430 to $402 ahead of the company's third-quarter earnings report on October 13. The brokerage stated that the widely expected third-quarter medical cost ratio of 89.9% and earnings per share of $4.12 are "well within reach." The report pointed out that recently announced Medicare star ratings have fallen as anticipated, which is expected to create a $1.5 billion revenue headwind in 2028. The new price target represents a 6.9% upside from the stock's previous closing price. "We also expect management to comment on preliminary expectations for 2027 Medicare Advantage (MA) enrollment growth and may emphasize a focus on margins over enrollment growth," the brokerage added. Earnings forecasts remain unchanged, but a lowered valuation multiple led to the reduction in price target. Among 29 brokerages, 23 rate the stock a "buy" or higher, while 6 rate it "hold"; the median price target is $483.82, according to LSEG data. As of the previous close, the stock is up 12.3% year-to-date.

路透社•2026/10/09 10:31