Every Stock Market Crash Has Been Predicted Image Explained

Discover the history and accuracy of the Benner Cycle, the viral infographic claiming to forecast every major financial collapse and the upcoming 2025-2026 market shift.

2024-08-18 04:58:00

By Lily Wong

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The viral every stock market crash has been predicted image, often referred to as the Benner Cycle chart, has become a staple of financial social media. Originally conceived in 1875 by an Ohio farmer named Samuel Benner, this zigzagging infographic purports to show a repetitive, cyclical pattern in the economy that identifies years of panic, years of high prices, and years of low prices. As of 2024, this image continues to circulate among crypto and stock investors as a 'cheat sheet' for anticipating the next global financial correction.

The Anatomy of the Benner Cycle Chart

The every stock market crash has been predicted image is divided into three distinct cycles that Samuel Benner identified after losing his fortune in the 1873 panic. By studying pig iron prices and agricultural cycles, he mapped out a 150-year forecast that still garners attention today.

A - Years of Panic: These are the peak years where the chart suggests markets will experience sudden collapses (e.g., 1929, 2008, and the upcoming 2025).
B - Years of Good Times: These represent periods when prices are high and it is generally considered the best time to sell assets.
C - Hard Times: These are the 'troughs' or years of low prices, identified as the best opportunities to buy and hold for the long term.
The Zigzag Infographic: Visually, the chart uses a rhythmic pattern to suggest that human emotion and economic output move in a predictable, mechanical wave rather than through random events.

Notable Historical Accuracies and Misses

Proponents of the every stock market crash has been predicted image point to its uncanny ability to align with major historical events. The chart successfully highlighted 1929 (The Great Depression) and the 2008 Global Financial Crisis as 'Panic' years. Even the 2020 COVID-19 market crash, while a black swan event, landed near a cycle turn identified in modern iterations of the chart.

However, critics argue that 'survivorship bias' plays a significant role. For every accurate prediction, there are 'Panic' years indicated on the chart where the market remained relatively stable. Economists often cite the 'nine out of five' fallacy—the idea that market indicators have successfully predicted nine of the last five recessions.

Current Context: 2025–2026 Predictions

The reason the every stock market crash has been predicted image is trending in 2024 is its projection for the mid-2020s. According to the original Benner Cycle, 2025 is marked as a major 'Year of Panic.' This coincides with current macroeconomic concerns regarding high interest rates and global debt levels.

In the digital asset space, many analysts overlay the Benner Cycle with the Bitcoin Halving Cycle. As Bitcoin typically sees a peak approximately 12-18 months after a halving (the most recent being in April 2024), the alignment with Benner’s 2025 'Panic' year has many traders on Bitget and other platforms preparing for heightened volatility. While these charts are not financial advice, they serve as psychological benchmarks for many in the community.

Comparison with Other Predictive Frameworks

While the Benner image is popular for its simplicity, professional traders often use more data-driven indicators to validate the every stock market crash has been predicted image:

The Shiller CAPE Ratio: This measures whether the stock market is overvalued relative to historical earnings.
Market Concentration: Similar to the 1929 and 1999 bubbles, current markets show high concentration in a few mega-cap tech stocks (The Magnificent Seven), a trend often seen right before 'Panic' years.
Inverted Yield Curve: A classic recession indicator that has preceded almost every modern stock market crash.

The Role of Social Media Virality

The every stock market crash has been predicted image thrives on platforms like X (formerly Twitter) and Reddit because it provides a simple visual answer to complex economic questions. For new investors, these images can provide a sense of certainty in an uncertain market. However, it is essential to remember that modern markets are influenced by high-frequency trading, central bank interventions, and globalized supply chains—factors that did not exist when Samuel Benner drew his first chart in 1875.

For those looking to navigate these cycles, using a robust platform like Bitget allows users to set stop-losses, monitor real-time data, and utilize secure Bitget Wallet services to manage assets during times of predicted volatility.