Crude oil pulls back, probability of "crude oil reaching $100 before the end of March" on Polymarket drops 11% intraday

In the Polymarket prediction event "Will crude oil prices reach $100 before the end of March 2026," the probability for YES has dropped to 78%, falling 11% in the past 24 hours. The 24-hour trading volume for this event is approximately $800,000.

Tonight, international crude oil prices have retreated, with WTI crude falling below $94 per barrel, a daily decline of 5.40%. The previously aggressive narrative in the prediction market has eased somewhat.

Continue to monitor the prediction market; observe changes before pricing.