Canadian Dollar remains weaker as oil slips
USD/CAD remains stronger for the seventh consecutive day, trading around 1.3930 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair holds ground as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) struggles amid lower oil prices, given Canada’s status of the largest crude exporter to the United States (US).
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price declines after four days of gains, trading around $98.60 per barrel at the time of writing. Crude oil prices fall after US President Donald Trump reportedly signaled willingness to end the Iran campaign even if the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed. However, this also eases safe-haven demand, weighs on the US Dollar (USD), and limits the upside of the USD/CAD pair.
However, ongoing US troop deployments suggest mixed signals and sustained risks to global energy flows. Meanwhile, Iran struck a Kuwaiti oil tanker near a Dubai port, highlighting rising shipping risks in the Persian Gulf. Iran-backed Houthis also entered the conflict by targeting Israel over the weekend, while Tehran is reportedly preparing to disrupt Red Sea traffic.
Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell said at a Harvard economics class on Monday that long-term US inflation expectations remain well anchored despite heightened Middle East uncertainty, adding that the Fed’s current policy stance gives officials time to assess the economic impact of the Iran conflict.
New York Fed President John Williams said on Monday that monetary policy is well-positioned for any unusual circumstances and told Reuters that the job market is still sending mixed signals.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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VIPAI Asset Sell-Off and Selective Rotation in Crypto
1. Technology stocks fell sharply as investor interest shifted toward energy and selected defensive assets. From October 10 to 16, the Nasdaq 100 declined 5.49% and the S&P 500 fell 1.95%, while the Dow gained 0.67% and WTI crude rose 10.41%. BTC, ETH, and SOL declined 1.27%, 2.65%, and 4.44%, respectively. This week's technology earnings will be an important test of whether revenue growth, margins, and cash flow can justify current valuations. Better-than-expected results could help stabilize markets in the near term. 2. Crypto continues to see pockets of strong activity, but a broad-based altcoin season has yet to materialize. CoinMarketCap's (CMC) Altcoin Season Index stood at 54 as of the October 18 UTC daily observation, below the altcoin-season threshold of 75, while BTC dominance rose to 60.08%. Our proxy leverage ratio fluctuated between 4.00 and 4.07 during the week, showing no sustained increase and suggesting limited appetite for additional leverage. Meanwhile, as major exchanges expand access to traditional financial assets, the recent sell-off in AI-related equities could attract short-term speculative capital away from crypto. Such capital rotation could make it more difficult for a new altcoin season to take hold. 3. Papertrade's loss-to-mine model has generated significant interest across the crypto community. The protocol combines high-leverage derivatives trading with zero slippage and a mechanism that rewards trading losses with PAPER tokens. Across the eight complete UTC days from October 10 to 17, cumulative reported revenue reached approximately $56.08 million, including $51.90 million distributed to token holders. With growing participation from key opinion leaders (KOLs), Papertrade has reportedly ranked among the top three platforms by profitability in the broader market recently. Assets to watch: BTC, ETH, SOL, ARB, OP, SKHYNIX, SKHY, META, TSLA, LRCX, and SPCX. Key research priorities this week: Cash flow performance in technology earnings; the relative discount and holding costs of the two SK Hynix contracts; and U.S. initial jobless claims and PMI data. Weekly market data cover the period through October 16, while research information was verified through October 18. Observation periods are specified separately for each chart.
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