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Daily Gold Review | Gold Price C-Wave Pullback Continues, Watch for Key Support Below

Daily Gold Review | Gold Price C-Wave Pullback Continues, Watch for Key Support Below

新浪财经新浪财经2026/04/29 04:05
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By:新浪财经

In terms of fundamentals, geopolitical tensions and expectations for Federal Reserve policy continue to play out. The U.S. military maintains its port blockade, while Iran reiterates its right to safeguard the security of the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, U.S. gasoline prices have skyrocketed to the highest in nearly four years, and Brent crude oil is up more than 40% from levels prior to the conflict. According to the World Bank, if Middle East tensions end in May, energy prices will rise by 24% by 2026; if the situation escalates, the average price of Brent crude oil could reach $115 per barrel.

High oil prices are intensifying inflation concerns, further suppressing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. The market has already priced in that the Federal Reserve is likely to keep rates unchanged at this week’s policy meeting, with the probability of a rate cut in June or July continuing to decline. In addition, tonight (22:00 UTC+8), the Senate will vote on the nomination of Walsh as Federal Reserve Chair, which deserves close attention.

From a technical perspective, international gold prices have retreated from recent highs, with the daily chart showing a wave C downside pattern. On the 4-hour chart, prices have broken below the previous consolidation platform, and short-term momentum tilts bearish. The first resistance zone to watch above is $4674–$4746 per ounce, with the second resistance zone at $4676–$4837
USD/ounce
(previous support now turned resistance). The first support below is at $4395
USD/ounce
; if this level fails, the next support lies at $4100
USD/ounce
, which is also a key technical level dating back to September last year.

In summary, while geopolitical risks and high oil prices provide some safe-haven support, the core driver in the current market remains “inflation → rate hike expectations,” and international gold prices remain under short-term pressure. The wave C correction may continue, with key focus on the $4395
USD/ounce
level. If this is breached, there may be further tests of $4100
USD/ounce
. Meanwhile, special attention should be paid to this week’s Federal Reserve rate decision and Powell’s remarks.

Editor | Jiao Yang  Layout | Jiao Yang  Visuals | Zhang Zongwei 

Proofreading | Wang Bei  Review | Ni Jinhe

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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