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Kimi K3 aims to reach Anthropic’s expected valuation

Kimi K3 aims to reach Anthropic’s expected valuation

金色财经金色财经2026/07/19 14:22
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```htmlJinse Finance reported that on July 19, the probability of Anthropic reaching a $1.5 trillion valuation by the end of the year dropped sharply on the prediction market Polymarket. Polymarket attributed this change to the release of KimiK3 by Moonshadow and stated that Anthropic's valuation expectations were impacted. On July 17, traders believed the chance of Anthropic hitting a $1.5 trillion valuation within the year was about 77%. By July 18, this figure had fallen to 67%, a decrease of roughly 10 to 11 percentage points in one day. The shift in market sentiment occurred after KimiK3 was launched. It should be noted that what fell was the contract price in the prediction market, not Anthropic’s actual valuation shrinking by 11%. The contract is a bet on whether Anthropic’s valuation will reach or exceed $1.5 trillion by December 31, 2026; the probability change only reflects the expectations of trading participants regarding this target.Anthropic’s most recent public financing took place on May 28, completing a $65 billion Series H funding round, with a post-investment valuation of $965 billion. To reach the $1.5 trillion target set by the Polymarket contract, Anthropic's valuation would still need to increase by $535 billion, a rise of over 55%.```
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